This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
August 31
$7.6K Volume
2%
Resolved 3
May 31
$11.2K Volume
No
June 30
$52.2K Volume
No
July 31
$66.6K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Israeli forces enter Beirut by?
Yes is the outsider here at 1%, while No trades at 99%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Israeli forces enter Beirut by?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 1%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Israeli forces enter Beirut by market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Aug 2026 (8 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Israeli forces enter Beirut by?
$137.5K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Israeli forces enter Beirut by on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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