This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
August 31
$11.2K Volume
18%
Resolved 4
May 31
$17.5K Volume
No
June 7
$94.1K Volume
No
June 30
$114.1K Volume
No
July 31
$104.5K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by?
The market prices Yes at only 12%, with No at 88%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 12%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Aug 2026 (8 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by?
Traders have put $341.6K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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