Geopolitics · Middle East

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

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$32.4K Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

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Past

Dec 31, 2025

Dec 31

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

The market prices Yes at only 7%, with No at 93%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.

What do traders predict for Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 7% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.

When does the Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31 market resolve?

The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.

How much money is trading on Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Total turnover stands at $32.4K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.

How can I trade Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31 on Polymarket?

Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.