Geopolitics · Russia

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?

$293.2K Volume
01/01/2027 04:59
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December 31
$73.7K Volume
10%
Resolved 2
March 31
$95.7K Volume
No
June 30
$123.7K Volume
No

Ramzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Ramzan Kadyrov will be considered to cease being the Head of the Chechen Republic if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Head of the Chechen Republic within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chechen Republic and the Russian Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by?
Yes is the outsider here at 9%, while No trades at 92%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 9%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by?
$293.2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.

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