This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
August 31
$4.1K Volume
1%
September 30
$4.2K Volume
9%
December 31
$357.2K Volume
25%
Resolved 5
March 31
$42.6K Volume
No
April 30
$532.3K Volume
No
May 31
$188.2K Volume
No
June 30
$509.8K Volume
No
July 31
$63.9K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Kash Patel out by?
Even the leader is cheap - December 31 trades at 24%, September 30 at 8%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Kash Patel out by?
Right now the market's best guess is December 31 at 24% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Kash Patel out by market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Kash Patel out by?
$1.7M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Kash Patel out by on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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