This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?
The market prices Yes at only 5%, with No at 95%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 5% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?
$156 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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