Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Chen Yu-jen
$2K Volume
88%
Li Wen-liang
$397 Volume
11%
Liang Wen-tao
$250 Volume
5%
Yang Cheng-wu
$246 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner?
At 88%, Chen Yu-jen has pulled far clear of Candidate A (50%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner?
Traders price Chen Yu-jen at a 88% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner market resolve?
Mark 28 Nov 2026 (97 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner?
Traders have put $2.9K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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