This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
15°C or below
$74 Volume
1%
16°C
$69 Volume
11%
17°C
$43 Volume
63%
18°C
$147 Volume
97%
19°C
$598 Volume
1%
20°C
$255 Volume
1%
21°C
$917 Volume
1%
22°C
$143 Volume
1%
23°C
$468 Volume
1%
24°C
$1.1K Volume
1%
25°C or higher
$131 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 25?
The money is on 18°C at 67%; 17°C follows at 33%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 25?
The market makes 18°C the favorite at 67%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 25 market resolve?
The market runs until 25 Aug 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 25?
$4.8K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 25 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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