This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
13°C or below
$145 Volume
1%
14°C
$5 Volume
19%
15°C
$22 Volume
27%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
38%
19°C
33%
20°C
30%
21°C
$65 Volume
2%
22°C
$5 Volume
8%
23°C or higher
$5 Volume
31%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 27?
Even the leader is cheap - 17°C trades at 31%, 16°C at 27%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 27?
Right now the market's best guess is 17°C at 31% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 27 market resolve?
The market runs until 27 Aug 2026 (2 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 27?
$4.2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 27 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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