This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
9°C or below
$15 Volume
2%
10°C
$85 Volume
7%
11°C
$21 Volume
50%
12°C
50%
13°C
50%
14°C
$39 Volume
51%
15°C
50%
16°C
$60 Volume
50%
17°C
$90 Volume
49%
18°C
$140 Volume
4%
19°C or higher
$135 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 25?
The field is wide open: 14°C tops it at just 31%, with 12°C close behind at 27%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 25?
Right now the market's best guess is 14°C at 31% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 25 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 25 Aug 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 25?
$7.6K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 25 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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