This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
9°C or below
$5 Volume
43%
10°C
$5 Volume
38%
11°C
39%
12°C
38%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C
46%
16°C
42%
17°C
$130 Volume
11%
18°C
$5 Volume
5%
19°C or higher
$5 Volume
43%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 26?
The field is wide open: 14°C tops it at just 37%, with 13°C close behind at 35%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 26?
Right now the market's best guess is 14°C at 37% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 26 market resolve?
The market runs until 26 Aug 2026 (2 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 26?
Traders have put $4.9K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 26 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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