This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
22°C or below
$135 Volume
69%
23°C
$145 Volume
42%
24°C
17%
25°C
49%
26°C
50%
27°C
41%
28°C
45%
29°C
43%
30°C
$150 Volume
14%
31°C
$135 Volume
38%
32°C or higher
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 26?
Even the leader is cheap - 22°C or below trades at 35%, 26°C at 30%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 26?
Right now the market's best guess is 22°C or below at 35% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 26 market resolve?
The market runs until 26 Aug 2026 (2 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 26?
$13.5K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 26 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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