This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
23°C or below
$215 Volume
1%
24°C
$83 Volume
1%
25°C
$131 Volume
11%
26°C
$92 Volume
50%
27°C
48%
28°C
$3 Volume
47%
29°C
$170 Volume
95%
30°C
$296 Volume
1%
31°C
$663 Volume
1%
32°C
$620 Volume
1%
33°C or higher
$475 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 25?
At 95%, 29°C has pulled far clear of 27°C (26%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 25?
Traders price 29°C at a 95% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 25 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 25 Aug 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 25?
Total turnover stands at $14.9K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 25 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
31°C75%YesNo
32°C24%YesNo
34°C98%YesNo
35°C2%YesNo
30°C92%YesNo
31°C5%YesNo
24°C51%YesNo
25°C35%YesNo
29°C40%YesNo
28°C32%YesNo
20°C28%YesNo
19°C28%YesNo
31°C97%YesNo
32°C2%YesNo
17°C99%YesNo
14°C3%YesNo
