This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
December 31, 2026
$20.5K Volume
5%
Resolved 4
October 31, 2025
$205.6K Volume
No
December 31, 2025
$1.4M Volume
No
June 30, 2026
$476.2K Volume
No
July 31, 2026
$60.8K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Macron out by?
The market prices Yes at only 4%, with No at 96%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Macron out by?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 4%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Macron out by market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Macron out by?
$2.1M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Macron out by on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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