This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
December 31
$227.3K Volume
16%
Resolved 3
March 31
$288.5K Volume
No
April 30
$27.4K Volume
No
June 30
$322.4K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Masoud Pezeshkian out by?
Yes is the outsider here at 15%, while No trades at 85%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Masoud Pezeshkian out by?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 15%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Masoud Pezeshkian out by market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Masoud Pezeshkian out by?
Traders have put $865.7K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Masoud Pezeshkian out by on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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