The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Capitão Contar
$1.9K Volume
66%
Vander Loubet
$1.8K Volume
30%
Reinaldo Azambuja
$275 Volume
2%
Roberto Oshiro
$312 Volume
2%
Luiz Lemes
$307 Volume
1%
Valter da Comagran
$309 Volume
2%
Beto do Movimento
$298 Volume
1%
Soraya
$270 Volume
2%
Valderi Garcia
$245 Volume
1%
Daniel Junior
$234 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Mato Grosso do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place?
The money is on Capitão Contar at 66%; Candidate A follows at 50%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for Mato Grosso do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place?
Traders lean toward Capitão Contar, pricing it at 66%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the Mato Grosso do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place market resolve?
The market runs until 4 Oct 2026 (41 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Mato Grosso do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place?
Traders have put $6K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Mato Grosso do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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