Science · Weather

Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?

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$2.3K Volume

01/09/2026 03:59

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Sep 1 Sep 1 Sep 1 Sep 1 Sep 1

425-450mm

$370 Volume

19%

450-475mm

$714 Volume

13%

475-500mm

$404 Volume

21%

500-525mm

$268 Volume

16%

525-550mm

$318 Volume

550-600mm

$283 Volume

600-650mm

$459 Volume

10%

650-700mm

$465 Volume

<425mm

$4.4K Volume

90%

700mm+

$2.1K Volume

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between August 1 and August 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in August 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.

If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?

The money is on <425mm at 81%; 425-450mm follows at 12%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.

What do traders predict for Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?

Traders lean toward <425mm, pricing it at 81%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.

When does the Precipitation in Hong Kong in August market resolve?

Mark 1 Sep 2026 (8 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?

Total turnover stands at $2.3K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.

How can I trade Precipitation in Hong Kong in August on Polymarket?

Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.