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Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?

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$10.2K Volume

20/09/2026 23:59

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<8%

$9.1K Volume

35%

8-11%

$464 Volume

47%

11-14%

$280 Volume

14%

14%+

$425 Volume

11%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.

Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?

It's a genuine race: 8-11% edges the field at 46%, barely ahead of <8% at 35%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.

What do traders predict for Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?

At 46% implied for 8-11%, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.

When does the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share market resolve?

Mark 20 Sep 2026 (27 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?

Total turnover stands at $10.2K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.

How can I trade Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share on Polymarket?

You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.