This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Past
<0.5%
$306 Volume
5%
0.5-1.0%
$218 Volume
8%
1.0-1.5%
$2.3K Volume
53%
1.5-2.0%
$2.4K Volume
34%
2.0-2.5%
$6.9K Volume
13%
2.5-3.0%
$434 Volume
12%
3.0-3.5%
$304 Volume
6%
3.5%+
$228 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Even the leader is cheap - 1.0-1.5% trades at 45%, 1.5-2.0% at 34%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is 1.0-1.5% at 45% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 market resolve?
Mark 30 Oct 2026 (66 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
$383 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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