This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Republican Party
$2.5K Volume
50%
Democratic Party
$3.5K Volume
49%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for MI-04 House Election Winner?
No runaway leader here - Republican Party at 50% versus Democratic Party at 49%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for MI-04 House Election Winner?
At 50% implied for Republican Party, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the MI-04 House Election Winner market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 4 Nov 2026 (72 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on MI-04 House Election Winner?
Total turnover stands at $6K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade MI-04 House Election Winner on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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