Politics · Geopolitics

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by...?

$371.9K Volume
01/01/2027 04:59
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December 31
$1.3K Volume
29%
Resolved 1
June 30
$370.6K Volume
No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by?
Yes is the outsider here at 25%, while No trades at 76%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 25% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by market resolve?
Mark 1 Jan 2027 (129 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by?
Total turnover stands at $371.9K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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