This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
September 30, 2026
$269 Volume
6%
December 31, 2026
$4K Volume
13%
Resolved 4
December 31, 2025
$58.7K Volume
No
March 31, 2026
$34.6K Volume
No
June 30, 2026
$17.3K Volume
No
July 31, 2026
$2.1K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Mike Johnson out as Speaker by?
The field is wide open: December 31, 2026 tops it at just 12%, with September 30, 2026 close behind at 4%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Mike Johnson out as Speaker by?
Right now the market's best guess is December 31, 2026 at 12% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Mike Johnson out as Speaker by market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Mike Johnson out as Speaker by?
Total turnover stands at $117K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Mike Johnson out as Speaker by on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
