This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
house
· Israel
Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?
Yes is the outsider here at 7%, while No trades at 94%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 7% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 30 Sep 2026 (38 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?
$2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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