putin · Russia

Moscow air traffic suspended by...?

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$19.6K Volume

15/09/2026 23:59

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Past

Jul 31

Sep 15 Aug 31 Aug 31 Oct 1

August 31

$18.8K Volume

60%

September 15

$855 Volume

86%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).

A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Moscow air traffic suspended by?

September 15 dominates the field at 85%; the nearest challenger, August 31, trades at just 43%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.

What do traders predict for Moscow air traffic suspended by?

With 85% implied for September 15, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.

When does the Moscow air traffic suspended by market resolve?

Resolution is scheduled for 15 Sep 2026 (22 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.

How much money is trading on Moscow air traffic suspended by?

Traders have put $19.6K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade Moscow air traffic suspended by on Polymarket?

You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.