This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
December 31, 2026
$10K Volume
9%
Resolved 4
December 31
$12.7K Volume
No
March 31, 2026
$390.1K Volume
No
April 30, 2026
$235.7K Volume
No
June 30, 2026
$291.6K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by?
The market prices Yes at only 8%, with No at 92%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 8%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by?
Total turnover stands at $940.1K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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