Trump · resign

Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?

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$239 Volume

01/01/2027 04:59

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.

If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?

The market prices Yes at only 14%, with No at 86%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.

What do traders predict for Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?

Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 14% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.

When does the Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31 market resolve?

Mark 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?

$239 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.

How can I trade Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31 on Polymarket?

You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.