AI · Tech

Will Claude go down on __ days in August?

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$1.7K Volume

31/08/2026 23:59

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Past

Jul 31 Jun 30 May 31 Apr 30 Mar 31

Aug 31

5-7

$8K Volume

13%

8-10

$7.1K Volume

84%

11-13

$3.9K Volume

10%

14+

$4.6K Volume

Resolved 1

$9.4K Volume

This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.

Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.

A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.

This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Claude go down on __ days in August?

The money is on 8-10 at 84%; 5-7 follows at 8%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.

What do traders predict for Will Claude go down on __ days in August?

The market makes 8-10 the favorite at 84%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.

When does the Will Claude go down on __ days in August market resolve?

Mark 31 Aug 2026 (7 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on Will Claude go down on __ days in August?

Total turnover stands at $1.7K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.

How can I trade Will Claude go down on __ days in August on Polymarket?

Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.