This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
September 30
$2.5K Volume
21%
December 31
$2.3K Volume
68%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Next UK by-election called by?
No runaway leader here - December 31 at 61% versus September 30 at 19%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Next UK by-election called by?
Traders give December 31 a 61% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Next UK by-election called by market resolve?
Mark 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Next UK by-election called by?
Traders have put $4.7K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Next UK by-election called by on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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