This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
<4
$3.3K Volume
65%
4
$715 Volume
24%
5
$277 Volume
10%
6+
$17.5K Volume
8%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?
No runaway leader here - <4 at 65% versus 4 at 14%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?
At 65% implied for <4, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Aug 2026 (8 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?
$3.2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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