This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Past
No Change
$21.9K Volume
88%
Decrease
$21.3K Volume
13%
Increase
$5.1K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?
At 87%, No Change has pulled far clear of Decrease (13%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?
With 87% implied for No Change, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the People's Bank of China rate change by September 30 market resolve?
The market runs until 30 Sep 2026 (37 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?
Traders have put $49 through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade People's Bank of China rate change by September 30 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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