The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marília Arraes
$11.4K Volume
58%
Humberto Costa
$7.7K Volume
35%
Mendonça Filho
$1.2K Volume
3%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$549 Volume
1%
Eduardo da Fonte
$798 Volume
3%
Gorett Bitu
$525 Volume
1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$493 Volume
1%
Mariano Macedo
$470 Volume
1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$505 Volume
1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$542 Volume
1%
Samuel Timoteo
$500 Volume
1%
Túlio Gadêlha
$486 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place?
No runaway leader here - Marília Arraes at 57% versus Candidate A at 50%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place?
Traders give Marília Arraes a 57% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place market resolve?
The market runs until 4 Oct 2026 (40 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place?
Traders have put $25.1K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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