This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay?
Yes is the outsider here at 7%, while No trades at 94%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 7%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay?
$606.4K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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