The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Guilherme Derrite
$11K Volume
47%
Simone Tebet
$1.8K Volume
33%
Marina Silva
$3.1K Volume
19%
Petter Maahs
$405 Volume
1%
André do Prado
$2.2K Volume
11%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
$613 Volume
1%
Weller Gonçalves
$383 Volume
1%
Salles
$1.5K Volume
6%
Maíra de Souza
$368 Volume
1%
Ednelson Cesaretti
$737 Volume
1%
Geraldo Rufino
$452 Volume
1%
Marcio Alves
$552 Volume
1%
Soninha Francine
$474 Volume
1%
William Teixeira
$700 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place?
No runaway leader here - Candidate A at 50% versus Candidate B at 50%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place?
At 50% implied for Candidate A, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 4 Oct 2026 (41 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place?
$24.3K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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