This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
December 31
$11.7K Volume
14%
Resolved 1
June 30
$125K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by?
The market prices Yes at only 14%, with No at 87%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 14%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by?
$136.7K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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