This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
<37.0
$65 Volume
4%
37.0–37.4
$65 Volume
7%
37.5–37.9
$764 Volume
30%
38.0–38.4
$624 Volume
35%
38.5–38.9
$986 Volume
31%
39.0+
$153 Volume
8%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Trump approval rating on August 28?
The field is wide open: 38.0–38.4 tops it at just 35%, with 37.5–37.9 close behind at 30%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Trump approval rating on August 28?
Right now the market's best guess is 38.0–38.4 at 35% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Trump approval rating on August 28 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 28 Aug 2026 (5 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Trump approval rating on August 28?
Traders have put $779 through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Trump approval rating on August 28 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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