This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
August 31
$3.1K Volume
17%
September 15
$4.4K Volume
79%
September 30
$6.7K Volume
88%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Trump declassifies new UFO files by?
At 86%, September 30 has pulled far clear of September 15 (78%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Trump declassifies new UFO files by?
With 86% implied for September 30, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Trump declassifies new UFO files by market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 1 Oct 2026 (38 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Trump declassifies new UFO files by?
Total turnover stands at $2.5K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Trump declassifies new UFO files by on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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