This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?
Yes is the outsider here at 6%, while No trades at 94%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 6% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?
Total turnover stands at $7.3K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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