Tyler Robinson has been charged with Aggravated Murder by The State of Utah for the death of Charlie Kirk. You can read more about that here: https://atty.utahcounty.gov/cms/uploads/TJR_Information_49872215e3.pdf
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tyler Robinson is convicted of any criminal homicide offense in the ongoing STATE OF UTAH v. TYLER JAMES ROBINSON (OTN: 70090584) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If this specific charge is dropped, or otherwise changed such that it is no longer considered a criminal homicide offense (https://le.utah.gov/xcode/Title76/Chapter5/76-5-S201.html), this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a homicide conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
This one is tight: Yes at 50%, No at 51%. When a market trades this close, small news moves the price fast.
What do traders predict for Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
At 50% implied for Yes, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
$309.4K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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