This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
The market prices Yes at only 6%, with No at 94%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 6%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$64.7K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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