This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Carlos Alcaraz
86%
Alexander Zverev
$100 Volume
85%
Rafael Jodar
$61 Volume
75%
Novak Djokovic
71%
Arthur Fils
$87 Volume
73%
Daniil Medvedev
67%
Ben Shelton
64%
Alex de Minaur
$20 Volume
60%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
$242 Volume
57%
Jakub Mensik
$21 Volume
48%
Flavio Cobolli
$21 Volume
49%
Lorenzo Musetti
$63 Volume
47%
Brandon Nakashima
$411 Volume
45%
Alexander Bublik
$21 Volume
44%
Learner Tien
$21 Volume
44%
Jiri Lehecka
34%
Casper Ruud
$143 Volume
33%
Tommy Paul
$21 Volume
33%
Luciano Darderi
24%
Andrey Rublev
25%
Ugo Humbert
22%
Francisco Cerundolo
$21 Volume
19%
Zizou Bergs
19%
Cameron Norrie
19%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
15%
Alexander Blockx
15%
Arthur Rinderknech
13%
Juncheng Shang
11%
Alejandro Tabilo
12%
Valentin Vacherot
10%
Gael Monfils
8%
Michael Zheng
8%
Thanasi Kokkinakis
10%
Joao Fonseca
$81 Volume
99%
Dane Sweeny
8%
J.J. Wolf
6%
Sebastian Gorzny
8%
Jack Kennedy
7%
Patrick Kypson
7%
Carlos Taberner
9%
Darwin Blanch
9%
Filip Misolic
6%
Taylor Fritz
69%
Frances Tiafoe
55%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)?
Carlos Alcaraz dominates the field at 86%; the nearest challenger, Alexander Zverev, trades at just 85%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)?
With 86% implied for Carlos Alcaraz, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles) market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 6 Sep 2026 (13 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)?
Total turnover stands at $1.3K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles) on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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