This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Carlos Alcaraz
$55 Volume
59%
Alexander Zverev
$21 Volume
48%
Novak Djokovic
32%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
$41 Volume
23%
Ben Shelton
20%
Arthur Fils
$21 Volume
21%
Daniil Medvedev
18%
Taylor Fritz
15%
Lorenzo Musetti
13%
Frances Tiafoe
12%
Alex de Minaur
11%
Rafael Jodar
10%
Flavio Cobolli
9%
Alexander Bublik
$120 Volume
9%
Jiri Lehecka
10%
Jakub Mensik
10%
Tommy Paul
10%
Learner Tien
7%
Brandon Nakashima
7%
Casper Ruud
8%
Andrey Rublev
8%
Francisco Cerundolo
$100 Volume
8%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
9%
Valentin Vacherot
7%
Alexander Blockx
7%
Luciano Darderi
6%
Ugo Humbert
5%
Alejandro Tabilo
5%
Cameron Norrie
5%
Patrick Kypson
5%
Michael Zheng
5%
Arthur Rinderknech
5%
Gael Monfils
$413 Volume
3%
Zizou Bergs
4%
Joao Fonseca
3%
Darwin Blanch
3%
Sebastian Gorzny
5%
Jack Kennedy
3%
Dane Sweeny
5%
J.J. Wolf
5%
Juncheng Shang
5%
Thanasi Kokkinakis
5%
Filip Misolic
5%
Carlos Taberner
5%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)?
It's a genuine race: Carlos Alcaraz edges the field at 58%, barely ahead of Alexander Zverev at 47%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)?
Traders give Carlos Alcaraz a 58% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles) market resolve?
Mark 10 Sep 2026 (17 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)?
$771 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles) on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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