This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
Yes is the outsider here at 8%, while No trades at 93%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 8%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
$17K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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