If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Past
Ireland
$10K Volume
99%
Germany$18.5K Volume
42%
Saudi Arabia$769 Volume
41%
Japan$15.6K Volume
35%
Israel
$29.2K Volume
28%
Italy
$30.5K Volume
18%
South Korea$13.8K Volume
20%
Oman
$3.1K Volume
16%
North Korea
$17.4K Volume
12%
Lebanon
$29.6K Volume
10%
Portugal$10 Volume
36%
Mexico$6K Volume
10%
Ukraine
$7.2K Volume
9%
Syria
$1.4K Volume
8%
Pakistan
$8.3K Volume
6%
Venezuela
$185 Volume
12%
Canada$4.5K Volume
9%
Taiwan
$85K Volume
7%
Russia
$11.7K Volume
7%
India
$14.9K Volume
8%
Belarus
$4.5K Volume
6%
Resolved 5
United Kingdom
$35.2K Volume
Yes
France
$46.5K Volume
Yes
China
$121.7K Volume
Yes
Turkey
$52.3K Volume
Yes
Switzerland
$54.3K Volume
Yes
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
At 99%, Ireland has pulled far clear of Germany (39%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
With 99% implied for Ireland, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
Traders have put $1.2K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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