This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Past
Somaliland
$115.9K Volume
18%
Lebanon
$76.8K Volume
9%
Azerbaijan
$169.3K Volume
8%
Syria
$163.6K Volume
7%
Saudi Arabia$292.1K Volume
7%
Jordan$9.6K Volume
6%
Kuwait
$63.7K Volume
6%
Oman
$179.5K Volume
4%
Egypt$7.4K Volume
12%
Qatar$8.6K Volume
5%
Pakistan
$9K Volume
5%
Turkey$487.5K Volume
2%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
The field is wide open: Somaliland tops it at just 16%, with Lebanon close behind at 9%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
No strong consensus yet: Somaliland tops the implied probabilities at just 16%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
$149 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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