This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ryan Salame
$29.7K Volume
24%
Matt Gaetz
$3.9K Volume
21%
Keonne Rodriguez
$17.3K Volume
19%
Donald Brodie
$1.8K Volume
44%
Steve Bannon
$7.8K Volume
18%
Daniel Penny
$508 Volume
18%
Roger Stone
$3.9K Volume
18%
Young Thug
$4.4K Volume
14%
Stefan Brodie
$2.5K Volume
15%
Derek Chauvin
$23.1K Volume
9%
Eric Adams
$1.1K Volume
9%
Joe Exotic
$5.4K Volume
9%
Roger Ver
$1.5K Volume
8%
Julian Assange
$3.4K Volume
6%
Bob Menendez
$295 Volume
9%
Nicolas Maduro
$9.5K Volume
6%
Himself
$12.6K Volume
5%
Martin Shkreli
$29.7K Volume
7%
Ghislaine Maxwell
$22.8K Volume
7%
Diddy
$27.4K Volume
6%
Sam Bankman-Fried
$128.9K Volume
4%
Edward Snowden
$3.2K Volume
5%
Antoine Massey
$2.4K Volume
4%
Elizabeth Holmes
$3.6K Volume
6%
Do Kwon
$23.6K Volume
5%
Andrew Tate
$236 Volume
8%
Hunter Biden
$5.5K Volume
4%
Elon Musk
$52.9K Volume
2%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
The field is wide open: Donald Brodie tops it at just 30%, with Ryan Salame close behind at 23%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Right now the market's best guess is Donald Brodie at 30% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Who will Trump pardon before 2027 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
$428.8K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Who will Trump pardon before 2027 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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