This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Past
Candace Owens
$10K Volume
49%
Jimmy Kimmel
$255 Volume
38%
Alex Jones
$5.1K Volume
23%
Andy Burnham
$1.5K Volume
9%
Megyn Kelly
$1.1K Volume
10%
Kaitlan Collins
$919 Volume
49%
Jerome Powell
$116 Volume
12%
Friedrich Merz
$1.7K Volume
11%
Zohran Mamdani
$193 Volume
27%
Emmanuel Macron
$1.7K Volume
9%
Norah O'Donnell
$1.8K Volume
6%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$543 Volume
28%
Kevin Warsh
$787 Volume
9%
Pope Leo XIV
$2.9K Volume
5%
Pam Bondi
$268 Volume
29%
Viktor Orbán
6%
Xi Jinping
$1.4K Volume
3%
Elon Musk
$1.8K Volume
4%
Vladimir Putin
$1.9K Volume
3%
J.D. Vance
$799 Volume
4%
Mohammed bin Salman
$70 Volume
3%
Melania Trump
$3K Volume
2%
Resolved 5
Tucker Carlson
$3K Volume
Yes
Joe Biden
$2.7K Volume
Yes
Barack Obama
$2.5K Volume
Yes
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$9.3K Volume
Yes
Nicolás Maduro
$3.6K Volume
Yes
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?
Even the leader is cheap - Candace Owens trades at 38%, Kaitlan Collins at 28%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?
Right now the market's best guess is Candace Owens at 38% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Aug 2026 (7 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?
Total turnover stands at $1.5K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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