This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
December 31
$159 Volume
10%
Resolved 1
June 30
$767.2K Volume
No
Analysis & News
Will Iran Play at the World Cup? The Market Says 97% - Despite the War, Pulled Tickets and a Visa Standoff
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Iran hold a presidential election by?
Yes is the outsider here at 6%, while No trades at 94%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Will Iran hold a presidential election by?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 6%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Will Iran hold a presidential election by market resolve?
Mark 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Will Iran hold a presidential election by?
Total turnover stands at $767.4K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Will Iran hold a presidential election by on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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