France · appeal

Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?

$14.9K Volume
01/04/2027 03:59
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December 31
$11.1K Volume
4%
March 31
$1.8K Volume
11%
Resolved 1
July 31
$2K Volume
No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by?
Even the leader is cheap - March 31 trades at 10%, December 31 at 4%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by?
Right now the market's best guess is March 31 at 10% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 1 Apr 2027 (220 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by?
Total turnover stands at $14.9K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.

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