This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the number of Bitcoin Knots nodes exceeds the number of Bitcoin Core nodes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is https://coin.dance/nodes/all, specifically the “Bitcoin Nodes” chart.
Resolution will be based on the node counts displayed when hovering over each date for Bitcoin Core Nodes and Bitcoin Knots Nodes.
A data point for a given day will be considered finalized once data for the following day is published.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe and before resolution criteria are met, the market will resolve based on a reliable alternative source or public data consistent with the official Bitcoin node counts.
December 31, 2026
$581 Volume
50%
Resolved 1
December 31
$37.7K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will knots flip bitcoin core by ___?
The market prices Yes at only 30%, with No at 70%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Will knots flip bitcoin core by ___?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 30%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Will knots flip bitcoin core by ___ market resolve?
Mark 1 Jan 2027 (129 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Will knots flip bitcoin core by ___?
Total turnover stands at $38.3K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Will knots flip bitcoin core by ___ on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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