Brazil · Politics

Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

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$21.5K Volume

01/01/2027 02:59

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September 30

$2.3K Volume

11%

December 31

$5.5K Volume

66%

Resolved 1

June 30

$13.7K Volume

This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.

Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.

A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Analysis & News

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by?

December 31 leads the field at 66%, with September 30 next at 11%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.

What do traders predict for Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by?

Traders lean toward December 31, pricing it at 66%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.

When does the Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by market resolve?

Mark 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by?

$21.5K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.

How can I trade Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by on Polymarket?

Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.